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Red31
173410.0
10028.1
59011.9
Blue17
17715.9
168311.3
18451.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261601020304050603117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
590
Unranked
11.90.5
11.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1683
Unranked
11.30.0
8.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1734
Unranked
10.00.5
6.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1771
Unranked
5.90.0
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1002
Unranked
8.10.4
6.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1845
Unranked
1.90.0
3.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End