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Red31
11619.6
19274.6
3411.9
Blue36
13048.6
17889.6
153316.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36200103040506070803136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
Unranked
19.60.1
18.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1533
Unranked
16.21.2
8.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34
Unranked
11.90.2
10.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1788
Unranked
9.61.2
6.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1927
Unranked
4.60.2
4.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1304
Unranked
8.61.2
6.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End