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Red20
105712.0
13714.1
11832.5
Blue26
18796.4
112710.5
18775.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224010203040502026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1057
Unranked
12.00.2
10.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1127
Unranked
10.50.2
10.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1371
Unranked
4.10.2
6.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1879
Unranked
6.40.2
5.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1183
Unranked
2.50.2
5.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1877
Unranked
5.30.2
7.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End