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Red32
46212.5
152315.4
19228.2
Blue21
9044.3
23118.5
6148.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3134010204050603221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
Unranked
15.40.0
11.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
231
Unranked
18.50.8
17.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
Unranked
12.50.0
12.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
614
Unranked
8.30.8
9.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1922
Unranked
8.20.0
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
904
Unranked
4.30.6
7.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End