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Red46
10010.0
20118.5
35414.7
Blue55
17316.8
110316.8
144810.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363620304050604655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
18.50.5
16.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1103
Unranked
16.81.1
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
354
Unranked
14.70.5
12.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
173
Unranked
16.81.1
14.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
100
Unranked
10.00.5
7.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1448
Unranked
10.41.3
8.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End