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Red14
3133.4
3089.7
57311.2
Blue0
8575.3
12433.8
3027.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2528010204050607080140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
11.20.9
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
302
Unranked
7.82.3
13.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
9.70.9
8.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
857
Unranked
5.32.3
6.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
313
Unranked
3.40.9
7.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1243
Unranked
3.82.3
7.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End