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Red12
2719.8
3979.1
4061.8
Blue0
4482.6
18962.7
6514.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30190406080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
19.81.4
12.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
65
Unranked
14.81.7
10.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
Unranked
9.11.4
10.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1896
Unranked
2.71.7
4.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
406
Unranked
1.81.4
6.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
448
Unranked
2.61.7
5.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End