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Red16
17394.4
100013.3
124311.5
Blue50
173612.8
98.8
18109.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193104060801650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1000
Unranked
13.30.3
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1736
Unranked
12.81.7
11.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
Unranked
11.50.2
7.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1810
Unranked
9.51.7
5.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
Unranked
4.40.3
4.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
9
Unranked
8.81.7
13.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End