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Red41
7127.5
17706.6
46810.1
Blue36
17815.3
180614.2
85815.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3524010203040506070804136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
27.50.4
20.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
858
Unranked
15.60.9
9.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
468
Unranked
10.10.6
6.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1806
Unranked
14.20.9
8.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1770
Unranked
6.60.6
6.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1781
Unranked
5.30.9
7.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End