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Red49
127219.6
17376.5
4511.8
Blue10
17668.4
16544.7
131911.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331701040506070804910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1272
Unranked
19.61.5
12.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1319
Unranked
11.70.5
8.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
Unranked
11.81.5
12.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1766
Unranked
8.40.8
6.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1737
Unranked
6.51.5
5.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1654
Unranked
4.70.8
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End