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Red58
176014.1
5549.9
101818.4
Blue32
26910.3
17207.4
39312.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313210204050605832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
Unranked
18.41.3
13.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
393
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1760
Unranked
14.12.2
9.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
269
Unranked
10.30.0
12.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
554
Unranked
9.92.2
8.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1720
Unranked
7.40.0
6.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End