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Red41
103821.6
16466.9
131911.7
Blue51
17376.5
26910.3
102424.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333602060801004151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
Unranked
21.60.4
16.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1024
Unranked
24.70.9
18.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1319
Unranked
11.70.5
7.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
269
Unranked
10.31.3
11.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
Unranked
6.90.4
9.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1737
Unranked
6.50.7
6.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End