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Red18
82912.6
17207.4
16544.7
Blue45
127219.6
5549.9
15025.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18220103040506070801845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
Unranked
12.60.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1272
Unranked
19.62.0
10.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1720
Unranked
7.41.5
7.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
554
Unranked
9.92.0
6.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1654
Unranked
4.70.0
6.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1502
Unranked
5.51.7
3.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End