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Red55
165717.8
157413.3
19553.2
Blue3
16904.2
19513.5
19454.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33100204050607080553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
Unranked
17.80.5
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1945
Unranked
4.60.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1574
Unranked
13.30.5
12.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1690
Unranked
4.20.2
4.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
Unranked
3.20.6
1.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1951
Unranked
3.50.2
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End