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Red35
165717.8
157413.3
19553.2
Blue29
194214.1
15806.1
19463.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332001040506070803529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
Unranked
17.80.1
16.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1942
Unranked
14.10.1
13.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1574
Unranked
13.30.1
12.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1580
Unranked
6.10.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
Unranked
3.20.1
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1946
Unranked
3.30.1
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End