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Red17
19377.5
19483.9
19495.3
Blue42
194214.1
15806.1
19463.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210103040501742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
Unranked
7.50.0
7.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1942
Unranked
14.10.4
13.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1949
Unranked
5.30.0
5.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1580
Unranked
6.10.4
5.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1948
Unranked
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1946
Unranked
3.30.4
2.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End