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Red4
157811.9
15776.6
19563.0
Blue5
194712.5
19433.7
19572.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222301020304045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1578
Unranked
11.90.4
12.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1947
Unranked
12.50.4
13.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1577
Unranked
6.60.4
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1943
Unranked
3.70.4
4.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1956
Unranked
3.00.4
3.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1957
Unranked
2.80.4
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End