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Red22
165717.8
19463.3
19553.2
Blue13
15806.1
15776.6
15734.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721010304050602213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
Unranked
17.80.4
12.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1577
Unranked
6.60.5
7.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1946
Unranked
3.30.4
2.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1580
Unranked
6.10.6
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
Unranked
3.20.4
1.41.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1573
Unranked
4.20.6
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End