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Red17
19545.7
19433.7
19454.6
Blue19
19513.5
157811.9
19377.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129020405060701719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1954
Unranked
5.70.3
5.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1578
Unranked
11.90.6
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1945
Unranked
4.60.3
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1937
Unranked
7.50.6
7.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1943
Unranked
3.70.3
4.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1951
Unranked
3.50.6
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End