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Red4
19572.8
19483.9
19522.0
Blue26
15796.4
16904.2
19445.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216020304050426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1948
Unranked
3.90.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1579
Unranked
6.40.8
6.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1957
Unranked
2.80.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1944
Unranked
5.80.8
4.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1952
Unranked
2.00.6
3.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1690
Unranked
4.20.8
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End