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Red9
8842.6
8714.1
16359.6
Blue33
49611.8
41716.3
50014.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2120010304050933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1635
Unranked
9.60.9
6.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
417
Unranked
16.31.0
5.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
871
Unranked
4.10.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
500
Unranked
14.61.0
6.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
884
Unranked
2.60.9
6.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
496
Unranked
11.81.0
8.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End