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Red32
5146.2
101913.4
17512.7
Blue28
16016.0
180313.9
54513.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23220103040503228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1019
Unranked
13.40.9
8.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1803
Unranked
13.90.4
7.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
Unranked
6.20.9
6.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
545
Unranked
13.70.4
8.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1751
Unranked
2.70.9
6.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1601
Unranked
6.00.4
6.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End