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Red42
2814.3
8842.6
10219.9
Blue14
56913.3
41716.3
18085.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332001040506070804214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
19.90.8
17.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
417
Unranked
16.30.7
6.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
28
Unranked
14.30.9
8.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
569
Unranked
13.30.7
9.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
884
Unranked
2.60.9
5.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1808
Unranked
5.50.2
5.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End