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Red20
8714.1
52713.1
50014.6
Blue18
5146.2
54513.7
35318.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23220103040502018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
500
Unranked
14.60.2
7.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
353
Unranked
18.80.4
6.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
527
Unranked
13.10.2
8.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
545
Unranked
13.70.4
9.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
871
Unranked
4.10.2
6.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
514
Unranked
6.20.4
7.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End