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Red30
16359.6
56913.3
32920.7
Blue10
10219.9
16016.0
52713.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434802060803010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
Unranked
20.70.8
19.418.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
102
Unranked
19.91.9
22.420.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
Unranked
13.30.8
13.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
527
Unranked
13.12.3
15.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1635
Unranked
9.60.8
10.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1601
Unranked
6.02.3
9.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End