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Red39
101913.4
50014.6
5709.2
Blue15
15546.4
5669.1
3526.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36220103040506070803915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
500
Unranked
14.60.3
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
566
Unranked
9.10.5
11.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1019
Unranked
13.40.3
13.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
352
Unranked
6.90.5
6.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
570
Unranked
9.20.3
9.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1554
Unranked
6.40.5
6.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End