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Red31
38312.9
140315.9
4679.9
Blue11
15685.8
5296.7
17797.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421402060803111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
Unranked
15.90.5
18.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1779
Unranked
7.10.5
4.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
Unranked
12.90.7
9.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
529
Unranked
6.70.4
4.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
Unranked
9.90.4
11.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1568
Unranked
5.80.4
8.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End