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Red37
16858.3
11520.3
12616.9
Blue12
110015.5
17334.1
196511.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624102030403712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
16.90.9
16.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1100
Unranked
15.50.8
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1685
Unranked
8.30.9
3.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1965
Unranked
11.06.1
11.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1152
Unranked
0.30.9
5.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1733
Unranked
4.11.0
7.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End