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Red0
111112.4
6152.8
17918.4
Blue36
14183.9
15978.4
162920.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1234020406080036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
Unranked
12.41.3
5.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
1629
Unranked
20.60.2
15.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1791
Unranked
8.41.3
6.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1597
Unranked
8.40.4
10.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
615
Unranked
2.81.3
3.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1418
Unranked
3.90.4
5.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End