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Red39
6866.0
6027.9
23719.8
Blue29
164711.5
12210.8
22519.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2040060801003929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
Unranked
19.81.4
13.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
225
Unranked
19.20.6
18.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
602
Unranked
7.91.4
3.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1647
Unranked
11.50.7
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
686
Unranked
6.01.4
6.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
122
Unranked
10.80.6
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End