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Red64
15978.4
48418.9
22519.2
Blue9
18943.1
118412.6
18207.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51220406080100120649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
19.20.8
18.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1184
Unranked
12.60.8
12.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
484
Unranked
18.91.4
18.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1820
Unranked
7.61.4
8.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1597
Unranked
8.41.4
10.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1894
Unranked
3.11.4
4.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End