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Red18
105112.2
61210.5
138910.8
Blue81
29321.2
17526.8
6246.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384702060801001201881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
Unranked
12.21.8
13.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
175
Unranked
26.81.8
21.723.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1389
Unranked
10.81.8
13.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
293
Unranked
21.21.8
20.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
612
Unranked
10.51.1
12.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
624
Unranked
6.42.9
3.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End