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Red80
54712.9
162530.9
144416.5
Blue9
16666.3
10983.5
16233.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59100204080100120809

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
30.91.8
25.627.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.6
1666
Unranked
6.30.5
6.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1444
Unranked
16.51.8
15.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
1098
Unranked
3.50.5
5.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
547
Unranked
12.91.8
12.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
1623
Unranked
3.30.5
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End