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Red21
14373.8
96716.5
18188.1
Blue29
14516.2
17634.3
53712.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522010203040502129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
Unranked
16.50.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
537
Unranked
12.90.4
12.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1818
Unranked
8.10.3
7.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1451
Unranked
6.20.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1437
Unranked
3.80.3
4.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1763
Unranked
4.30.4
4.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End