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Red40
5145.8
8522.3
4022.0
Blue97
12217.7
96830.0
156311.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544501001502002504097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
Unranked
22.30.7
28.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
968
Unranked
30.02.8
25.228.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40
Unranked
22.00.7
18.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
122
Unranked
17.72.5
12.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
514
Unranked
5.80.7
6.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1563
Unranked
11.23.4
9.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End