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Red9
148111.0
137911.4
174612.6
Blue51
118811.5
28015.0
1121.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3350020406080100120951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
Unranked
12.61.3
11.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
11
Unranked
21.40.2
22.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
Unranked
11.41.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
280
Unranked
15.00.2
14.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1481
Unranked
11.01.3
13.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1188
Unranked
11.50.2
9.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End