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Red70
7145.1
188713.4
8522.3
Blue23
47610.0
16469.2
148111.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51270204060801001207023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
Unranked
22.31.1
28.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
1481
Unranked
11.00.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1887
Unranked
13.41.4
13.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
476
Unranked
10.00.5
9.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
714
Unranked
5.11.6
5.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1646
Unranked
9.20.3
6.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End