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Red80
112415.0
57319.8
23614.9
Blue19
15418.2
12815.8
2237.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502304060801001208019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
19.81.7
17.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
1541
Unranked
8.20.6
10.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1124
Unranked
15.02.8
14.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
223
Unranked
7.40.5
10.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
236
Unranked
14.92.8
14.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
1281
Unranked
5.80.4
5.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End