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Red32
14573.1
16417.4
162210.0
Blue4
15105.2
15386.8
15562.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221701030405060324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
Unranked
10.00.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1538
Unranked
6.81.2
8.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1641
Unranked
7.40.6
7.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1510
Unranked
5.20.8
6.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1457
Unranked
3.10.9
4.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1556
Unranked
2.91.2
2.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End