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Red27
9979.9
17035.4
102714.3
Blue12
14258.6
15958.7
4733.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28290102040502712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
Unranked
14.30.1
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1595
Unranked
8.71.4
10.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
997
Unranked
9.90.1
9.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1425
Unranked
8.60.9
8.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1703
Unranked
5.40.1
6.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
473
Unranked
3.31.4
9.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End