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Red27
14258.6
39915.5
16823.8
Blue4
15157.0
162210.0
9902.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271801030405060274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
Unranked
15.50.1
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1622
Unranked
10.00.8
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1425
Unranked
8.60.1
7.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1515
Unranked
7.00.8
6.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1682
Unranked
3.80.1
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
990
Unranked
2.51.3
3.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End