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Red5
9979.9
15562.9
16615.8
Blue13
59710.9
15105.2
157211.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2229010405060513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
Unranked
9.90.9
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1572
Unranked
11.50.7
11.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1661
Unranked
5.80.9
5.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
597
Unranked
10.90.7
11.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1556
Unranked
2.91.5
5.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1510
Unranked
5.20.7
4.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End