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Red46
17035.4
23018.8
3599.1
Blue18
16823.8
101315.0
16615.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222010405060704618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
18.81.0
16.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1013
Unranked
15.00.3
14.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
359
Unranked
9.11.0
8.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1661
Unranked
5.80.3
5.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1703
Unranked
5.41.0
6.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1682
Unranked
3.80.3
3.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End