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Red5
16417.4
14258.6
18837.2
Blue27
7919.1
157211.5
9890.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223201040506070527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
Unranked
8.60.9
7.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
79
Unranked
19.10.2
18.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1641
Unranked
7.40.9
8.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1572
Unranked
11.50.2
11.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1883
Unranked
7.21.2
7.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
989
Unranked
0.60.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End