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Red9
4733.3
15386.8
5557.2
Blue17
15958.7
15562.9
19067.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17200103040917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
Unranked
7.20.4
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1595
Unranked
8.70.2
9.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
Unranked
6.80.6
6.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1906
Unranked
7.30.2
7.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
473
Unranked
3.30.6
4.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1556
Unranked
2.90.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End