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Red8
3599.1
14573.1
9979.9
Blue11
4733.3
16696.8
14258.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2826010204050607080811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
Unranked
9.91.2
11.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1425
Unranked
8.60.9
9.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
359
Unranked
9.11.7
10.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1669
Unranked
6.82.1
6.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1457
Unranked
3.11.7
6.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
473
Unranked
3.31.3
10.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End