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Red10
15562.9
101315.0
115912.0
Blue36
58519.5
15157.0
87717.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250204060801036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1013
Unranked
15.01.1
15.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
585
Unranked
19.50.9
9.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1159
Unranked
12.01.4
7.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
877
Unranked
17.30.9
9.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1556
Unranked
2.91.4
4.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1515
Unranked
7.00.7
6.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End