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Red47
15203.7
159710.4
38014.1
Blue14
12115.8
6403.5
168810.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2317010203040504714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
380
Unranked
14.11.9
9.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1688
Unranked
10.30.3
7.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1597
Unranked
10.41.3
9.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1211
Unranked
5.80.3
5.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1520
Unranked
3.72.1
2.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
640
Unranked
3.50.3
4.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End