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Red41
166013.3
139610.7
42111.8
Blue38
188010.2
11558.0
12376.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3716060804138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
Unranked
13.30.5
13.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1880
Unranked
10.21.5
7.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
421
Unranked
11.80.6
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1155
Unranked
8.01.6
6.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1396
Unranked
10.70.6
10.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1237
Unranked
6.81.6
5.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End