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Red59
159710.4
12244.5
37526.2
Blue26
3696.5
39522.9
13404.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373001020405060705926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
26.21.5
21.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
395
Unranked
22.90.2
20.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1597
Unranked
10.41.4
8.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
369
Unranked
6.50.4
5.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1224
Unranked
4.51.9
5.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1340
Unranked
4.00.4
4.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End